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Alert on Caribbean Food Insecurity

Date Posted: April 16, 2008.

London, (Prensa Latina)
- Caribbean expert David Jessop warned here that riots could occur almost anywhere in the Caribbean if global demand of food continues to exceed supply and commodity prices continue to rise.

In recent months the acceleration in food prices has been compounded by the turmoil in the financial markets and hard-pressed governments reach the limit of their ability to subsidize basic foodstuffs, says Jessop who is Director of the Caribbean Council, consultancy firm, based in the United Kingdom.

As both a source of energy and an 'asset class' for investors, food has become the subject of unbridled speculation. So much so that in just two weeks in April the price of rice for example rose by more than fifty per cent.

The seriousness of this and the challenge it presents to Caribbean growth and stability has not been well understood either within or beyond the region.

Instead, the response of most but not all governments seems to be based on the premise that what is happening is short-term in its nature in the opinion of Jessop.

To be fair, says the Director of the Caribbean consultancy group, the region's reticence may be because the crisis is occurring just as governments have significantly less room for manoeuvre: most are trying to adapt their economic systems to accommodate freer trade while striving to maintain growth, fiscal income and a continuing commitment to a social provision.

The underlying reason why this is happening largely relates to economic globalization and the rapid growth of demand from nations like China, India and Brazil requiring more of everything from energy, to minerals to food to fuel and sustain their development.

What this suggests is that neither energy prices nor the cost of food is likely to go down soon, if at all and that small economies will be particularly vulnerable.

To its credit, recognizes Jessop, Caricom has begun to recognize the challenge, governments have agreed to cut the Common External Tariff on specific food items, are in dialogue about how to encourage investment in the production of food in Guyana for regional distribution and are discussing with Trinidad the establishment of a fast ferry service in the Eastern Caribbean for farm products.

Despite this, the region still imports US$3.5 billion of food annually; a figure that is now quite literally rising week on week.

This suggests there is a need to think more fundamentally about the role of agriculture in Caribbean societies and what must be done to increase food production and to integrate both agriculture and fisheries with domestic demand and the requirements of the tourism sector.

According to Jessop, it requires discarding any thought of a protected export agricultural model based on preference and undertaking an agricultural revolution based on sound business practice with appropriate government incentives and international support if the region and its development is not to be destabilised by rising global food prices.

A changed approach also implies that Governments rapidly engage with multilateral institutions to develop new initiatives that support increased agricultural output and training.

Above all it requires a sea change in the way in which farmers and agriculture and the large areas of uncultivated and under-cultivated land are regarded.

The Caribbean expert recognizes that the US and the EU continue to provide incentives and subsidize the production and import of bio-fuels from cereals. The two opposing approaches to trade pits food against energy and almost certainly means that trade related adjustments cannot be a sustainable response.

Without new land being brought into production, new farming methods introduced and attention paid to transport especially in developing nations, food prices will continue to soar, warns the analyst on Caribbean issues.
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