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The Greater Caribbean This Week: Peace for the Region

Posted September 20, 2007

By: Dr. Rubén Silié Valdez Secretary General of the Association of Caribbean States.

The ANALITICA INTERNACIONAL report of the Grupo Coppan SC, for the month of May, published the article “Conflict and Peace in the World”, with special assistance from Alejandro Becerra Gelover. In this publication, the author comments on the results of the third report on Conflict and Peace in the World, prepared by the Center for International Development and Conflict Management of the University of Maryland.

One of the conclusions of the study is that in spite of progress made in the area of preserving peace and preventing conflict, the world today is more unsafe than before.
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Nevertheless, after analyzing those factors which – in accordance with the experts – allow for a peaceful climate to exist, this document informs us that the Latin American and Caribbean region is the least exposed to conflicts and, as a result, enjoys the greatest peace in the world. According to the study, only one country in the region appears among those classified as high-risk, that is, Haiti. (Though, as we know, a special situation existed in that country. It cannot be asserted at this time that the situation is the same as a year ago). The region therefore remains excluded from those with greater risk of genocides or “politicides”.

However, paradoxically, on the other hand, the International Labour Organization revealed that “in Latin America youth unemployment has reached 17% of the labour force, which is equivalent to 22 million who either do not study or work, and more than 30 million working in the informal economy under precarious conditions”. This means that those 30 million do not have a decent job, understanding this to mean, according to the same agency, “that productive occupation which is remunerated fairly and which is exercised in conditions of freedom, equity, safety and respect for human dignity”. [1]

These two reports, released to the public one month apart, take away from the satisfaction we felt in August, as they cancel each other out; so that while not being on the high-risk list was cause for joy, youth unemployment is terrifying news because of what that situation can mean for the region. While indicators used by the American university [2] to rate the risk of conflict do not affect the region with the same force as in other parts of the world, it is just as certain that internally we have other social indicators linked to poverty and human safety that are cause for alarm.

The social fracture in the region tends to be deepening, with an increase in the number of persons living in poverty. Thus, they lose access to education and health, their levels of nutrition are lowered, along with other factors that increase their social exclusion and consequently lead to emigration.

While the traditional forms of war and conflict are disappearing, every day new forms of social confrontation arise that create uneasiness and insecurity among people. That is because the use of force is increasingly in private hands. And in this way the aforementioned figures for youth unemployment become a risk factor, since that age span of the Latin American and Caribbean population is usually the most sought-after resource to execute those new forms of violence.

Thus, the University of Maryland studies predict relative peace for the region, which makes sense only if it is compared with the situation in other regions in the world. However, viewed from within Latin America and the Caribbean, those levels of peace are unsure, since poverty levels threaten any climate of lasting peace.


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[1] Listín Diario newspaper, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, 5th September 2007

[2] 1. Capacity of states to create peaceful conditions and avoid the emergence of armed conflict, whether in their territory or with neighbouring states. 2. Capacity of states to provide their people with reasonable levels of safety. 3. Absence of discriminatory policies towards so-called minority groups. 4. Proper management of social liberation movements. 5. Stability in democratic institutions. 6. Care of human resources and basic materials. 7. Potential to avoid armed conflict with neighbouring countries.

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